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Bill Rice, Jr.'s avatar

I also appreciate Mr. Raman making this great point, one I've often made as well:

"To take an analogy, in a case of suspected murder, the question of when the event happened is of prime importance – it should raise eyebrows if an investigation assiduously avoids the question of timing."

In my articles on Early Spread, I've pointed out that my wife and I are fans of the "Dateline" crime shows. It seems like in every one of these episodes, detectives start their investigations by creating a "timeline" of known important events.

This, of course, didn't happen in the investigation of this "crime." Or "investigators" simply assumed that the key event (virus spread or "case zero") occurred in December 2019 in Wuhan.

Well, what if this date (or even city) is wrong? The entire investigation would be starting from a flawed/incorrect premise. As far as I can tell, no virus sleuth detective has ever investigated the possibility the "crime" started months earlier. Because of this, many possible "suspects" never got questioned or investigated. The guilty could have gotten away with the crime because no detectives were asking them hard questions.

I also know from watching "Dateline" that when investigators all start from an incorrect crime assumption, the rest of the investigation quickly goes sideways. Events, people and organizations that should have been seriously investigated early on ... are not investigated.

Bill Rice, Jr.'s avatar

This is a wonderful summary of the “Covid After Action” report.

Since I’ve done extensive research on the topic, I appreciate the references to the importance of “early spread.” I love the author’s statement that WHEN the virus began to spread is more important than the question of WHERE spread might have commenced.

The CDC's ONE belated study of archived Red Cross blood seems to “confirm” (via positive antibody results) that millions of Americans had probably already been infected by this virus by late November/December 2019.

Since there was no spike in deaths before the lockdowns (when the virus had been spreading for months), the lockdowns were futile and unnecessary. The main take-away from an acknowledgment of “early spread” is that this respiratory virus was NOT “deadly.” Thus, there was no need for any of the “mitigation measures” nor the “warp speed,” experimental non-vaccines.

I also think some key officials KNEW the virus was already spreading, information they no doubt withheld from President Trump.

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